Skip to content
View all posts

Mortgage Market Update | July 2023

By: Jill Franks, Ashley McVicker, & Jared Gravatt

Mortgage Market Update | July 2023
Apple Spotify YouTube

Understanding the Current Market

*This podcast episode and blog were recorded and written in July of 2023. For the most updated market research, contact your mortgage officer.

If you're considering buying a home right now, you might be wondering if it's the right time to make such a significant investment. Despite the market's complexities, it's still a good time to buy a home with a strategic approach. Home prices are expected to continue rising, so waiting for a significant drop may not be advantageous. A $200,000 home today could cost $250,000 in five years, and although interest rates might be lower in the future, the overall cost could be higher due to price increases.

Interest Rates and Inventory

The mortgage market has experienced unprecedented fluctuations in recent years. With high interest rates, low inventory, and inflation, buyers, sellers, and lenders are navigating uncharted waters. Currently, 30-year mortgage rates are between 6.5% and 7.5%, depending on your credit score. While these rates might seem high compared to the record lows of the past few years, they are still favorable when viewed in a historical context.

The Role of the Federal Reserve

The Federal Reserve (Fed) plays a crucial role in determining interest rates. By raising or lowering the Fed funds rate, they influence the rates banks offer to consumers. This rate affects mortgage-backed securities, which are bought and sold by investors. When the Fed raises rates, it can make bonds less attractive, potentially leading to higher mortgage rates.

Lessons from the Past

Looking back at the 2008 financial crisis, there were significant factors that led to the housing market collapse. Loose lending standards and the housing bubble, where home prices inflated beyond their true value, contributed to the crisis. Today, while there are concerns about inflation and housing affordability, safeguards are in place to prevent a repeat of 2008. The Federal Reserve and lending institutions have stricter regulations to ensure more stability in the housing market.

The Impact of Inflation and Supply Shortages

Inflation and supply chain issues have made it challenging to build new homes affordably. The cost of materials has skyrocketed, making new construction less feasible. As a result, the housing market faces a shortage of inventory, driving prices up. Potential buyers need to be cautious and avoid overpaying for homes in a competitive market.

The Importance of Smart Buying

If you're looking to buy a home, it's essential to be smart about your purchase. Work closely with a real estate agent to ensure you're getting a fair price and not overpaying due to low inventory and high demand. Additionally, consider your long-term plans. If you don't plan to stay in your home for at least five to ten years, it might be better to rent and avoid the costs associated with buying and selling a home.

Preparing for Homeownership

Before you start your home search, get pre-approved for a mortgage. This process will give you a clear understanding of how much you can afford and help you identify any issues with your credit that need addressing. Some lenders offer soft credit pulls that don't impact your credit score, allowing you to explore your options without affecting your credit.

Despite the current challenges in the mortgage market, it's still a viable time to buy a home with careful planning and consideration. Work with experienced professionals, stay informed about market conditions, and make sure you're financially prepared for the responsibilities of homeownership. By taking these steps, you can navigate the complexities of the housing market and make a sound investment in your future.